Older Publications
Uncertainty and ambiguity in environmental economics: conceptual issues (with Geoffrey Heal), 2018. Handbook of Environmental Economics.
Model confirmation in climate economics (with Tom McDermott), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2016
Beliefs, Politics, and Environmental Policy (with Helene Ollivier), Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2016
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Agreeing to disagree on climate policy (with Geoffrey Heal), Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2014.
Policy experimentation, political competition, and heterogeneous beliefs (with Helene Ollivier and Leo Simon), Journal of Public Economics, 2014.
Climate Engineering Reconsidered (with Scott Barrett et. al.), Nature Climate Change, 2014
Uncertainty and Decision Making in Climate Change Economics (with Geoffrey Heal), Review of Environmental Economics and Policy, 2014.
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Adaptation to climate change and economic growth in developing countries (with Simon Dietz), Environment and Development Economics, 2015.
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On welfare frameworks and catastrophic climate risks, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 2013. CESIfo Distinguished Affiliate Award.
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Do probabilistic expert elicitations capture scientists’ uncertainty about climate change? (with Raphael Calel, David Stainforth, George MacKerron), Climatic Change, 2013. Supplementary Information.
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Scientific Ambiguity and Climate Policy (with Simon Dietz and Geoffrey Heal), Environmental and Resource Economics, 2013. EAERE Award for Outstanding Publication
Are first-borns more likely to attend Harvard? (with Raphael Calel), Significance, Vol. 9 (3), pp 37-39, 2012.
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Climate Prediction for Adaptation: Who needs what? Climatic Change, 2011.
What determines perceived value of seasonal climate forecasts? A theoretical analysis
(with Richard Washington), Global Environmental Change, 2010.
What is the true value of forecasts? Weather, Climate, and Society. Vol. 1, Issue 1, 2009.
Getting the most out of ensemble forecasts: A valuation model based on user-forecast interactions, Journal of Applied Meteorology, Vol. 47, Issue 10, 2008.
Transmogrifying fuzzy vortices (with Jeff Murugan), Journal of High Energy Physics. Vol. 4, Issue 9, 2004.